Profs & Pints DC: Predicting Election Results

Profs and Pints DC presents: “Predicting Election Results,” a look at the tools of political prognostication and what they tell us about what will happen in November, with Matthew Green, professor of politics at The Catholic University of America.

With the approach of any major election comes the emergence of pollsters, pundits and, yes, even professors who claim to know how the voting will go. Few of them explain how they reached their conclusions, even if they conflict with the predictions of others.

Profs and Pints is bringing you a talk to help you see through the spin, wishful thinking, and wild guesses about the 2024 elections.

Professor Matthew Green, a scholar of congressional and electoral politics, will pull back the curtain to show you the tools that political scientists and professional prognosticators use in forecasting election outcomes. He will discuss some of the common misconceptions about what influences the…